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S&P 500 (SPY)

2026. 1. 1.

전망 요약

The index faces potential downside or stagnation as earnings multiples contract under higher interest rates.

주요 포인트

  • Current valuations are stretched if the Fed does not cut rates as early as expected
  • Earnings growth must accelerate to justify current price-to-earnings levels
  • Volatility is expected as the market re-prices the trajectory of the US economy