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US Treasuries

2026. 1. 10.

전망 요약

Yields are likely to remain elevated as the market prices out early rate cuts in January and March.

주요 포인트

  • The 10-year yield is staying elevated while the 2-year yield is rising as markets adjust to fewer expected rate cuts.
  • Probability of a January rate cut fell to approximately 5% following the report.
  • The yield curve steepener is compressing as the market aligns with the Fed's higher-for-longer stance.